Win or go home for the Warriors and they got what they wanted, hook or by crook, and at the expense of a top-three player in the NBA, their superstar, Kevin Durant. Game five was everything and more, it was what it was billed to be, a close contest that went back and forth and, in the end, guess who made their shots? The Champions. The Warriors held it together without Durant and proved their resiliency at least for one more game, one more shot to send this to a game seven in Toronto. The sports bettors wanted this, the bookies wanted it more. Vegas wanted and needed this. Make no mistake, the Warriors are the same team that swept Portland without their superstar but when he did make his appearance and his first shot was from downtown, he gave the spark that was needed to win game five. This team will be ready for game six tonight. The Line sits GS -2.5/ OU 211. This one is going to be fun, it will be another close one but maybe not as close as some would think.
The Raptors can’t close the deal! They had their chance and they blew it. They allowed the Warriors and the “splash brothers” a 9-2 run in the last 2-minutes, they had the ball with 15 seconds to go and down one, they couldn’t step on the Warriors neck and that will most-likely prove fatal.
Game one in Toronto was exciting, it was historic, it was a lot of fun even for those who have absolutely no interest in the Raptors. It was absolutely a thrill to see the Raptors play in their first NBA Championship and open at home to an amazing fan base. That was game one, this is game six and game seven, (if it goes) will be much different than game one. All the glory, all the hype, all of the focus on a 24-year franchise that had never been… that’s long over. Forget all of the noise. This is the Golden State Warriors that are going for a threepeat and they will be hard to beat, with or without Kevin Durant.
What’s worse for the Raptors, the Warriors have added motivation. After Durant coming into game five, and giving his squad the lift that he did, this group will be motivated tonight.
This is not about loving one team or hating another. What we must focus on is the value in the bet. Where lies the value? What about the over at 211, does that seem like value? In Oakland, it seems like somewhat of a valuable number. Remember, the Warriors averaged just over 117 points in the regular season while Toronto averaged over 106, however the total has been inconsistent and getting a good read on the total will be difficult without Durant in the lineup. One thing we know, Toronto is not Portland, this Raptors team can play some serious defense. It kills us to take Golden State under any total, so we will lay off the total… while saying “the game most likely goes over”.
There is simply no need to break down performances, to look at individual play and to speak of what Lowry, or Kawhi, or Steph has done. All of these guys are fantastic, and they bring it nightly and when one doesn’t have big numbers, the other one will. Both teams have a squad full of consummate professionals that can beat each other on any given night.
Where we look for value is in experience and for at least one game; the home of the champions. This is in the Champions house, are they going to allow the Raptors a win in their own house, in an elimination game, as well as in the last Warriors game to ever be played in Oakland, at Oracle? Not a chance!
Prediction: Golden State wins this game, -2 ½ and Over 211, we’re playing the parlay card. (we changed our minds).