Tattoo Jinx: Seattle Is Not Winning The Super Bowl


If you are looking on betting on the NFC Championship game this might make it easier: The Seattle Seahawks have been jinxed by this man by getting a tattoo boasting about their Super Bowl 2014 victory before the season even began.

You just can’t do that bro. Tim Connors, of Edmonds, Washington, got the Seahawks logo and ‘XLVIII Champs’ inked on his arm months ago.‘I’m not crazy, I’m not crazy at all. I’m confident, I’m 100 percent confident in every single player on that team,’ Connors told ABC. The Seahawks take on the 49ers in an exciting match-up on Sunday night, and if they get through that play-off game either New England or Denver await in the Super Bowl on February 2. –

He pretty much mushed their chances in winning the big game.  See more at:

Sunday Night NFL: Chicago Bears at Pittsburgh Steelers

The Pittsburgh Steelers are 0-2 for the first time in 11 years and their season will essentially be over if they lose at home on Sunday night against the 2-0 Bears. With an offense that’s scored 19 points and rushed for 75 yards, and a defense that’s yet to record a takeaway, Pittsburgh doesn’t appear to have an easy solution to its struggles. The winless record is bad enough but Pittsburgh has looked sloppy, out of sync and overmatched the first two weeks of 2013. They lost in the opener 16-9 at home against the Tennessee Titans, a team that finished 6-10 last season, and followed that up with a 20-10 loss to the Bengals last week, a game that wasnâ??t as close as the final score indicates. <p>

The Steelers have turned the ball over four times through two games â?? two interceptions, two fumbles â?? and the defense hasnâ??t forced a single turnover. The clubâ??s -4 ratio is second worst in the league. Through two weeks of the regular season the Bearsâ?? offense (No. 14) actually outranks the defense (No. 17), a feat the offense was unable to accomplish during the majority of the Lovie Smith era. The Bears are still on the plus side of their turnover ratio (+1, good for 11th in the NFL) thanks to the defense, but the unit ranks a pedestrian No. 14 in rushing defense and No. 17 in passing defense, despite the clubâ??s 2-0 record to begin the season. Sunday nightâ??s game could present the Bears with an opportunity to get back on track defensively. The Steelers have averaged a woeful 9.5 points per game — fewer than all but two teams in the league — and rank second-to-last in the league in total offense and rushing offense. Pittsburgh is also converting only 28 percent of its third-down chances. In the second year under offensive coordinator Todd Haley, Ben Roethlisberger has completed 58.6 percent of his passes. He’s thrown two touchdowns and two interceptions while being sacked seven times. Only Cleveland (16) and Jacksonville (11) have scored fewer points, and the backfield foursome of Felix Jones, LaRod Stephens-Howling, Isaac Redman and Jonathan Dwyer has rushed for 70 yards on 27 attempts. <p>

The Steelers could get a boost by the possible return of Roethlisberger’s favorite target, tight end Heath Miller, who is just about ready after tearing his ACL late in the 2012 season. Rookie running Le’Veon Bell remains out with a foot injury, however. The Steelers have rushed for fewer than 100 yards in eight consecutive games, the franchise’s longest streak since 1935. Chicago leads its all-time series with the Steelers, which dates back to 1934, with a 20-7-1 mark. The rivalry has been much more evenly contested in the modern-day NFL, though, with the teams splitting 10 meetings since 1971. This is only the Bears’ second trip to Heinz Field and just the fourth meeting between these two teams since 1998. Jay Cutler is 2-0 against the Steelers in his career and will be aiming for his third straight game with a passer rating over 100.0 against them. <p>

QB BEN ROETHLISBERGER is 15-1 at home vs. NFC w/ 22 TD passes vs. 8 INTs & 95.7 ratingâ?¦RB JONATHAN DWYER averages 5 yards per carry vs. NFCâ?¦WR ANTONIO BROWN had 8 rec. for 76 yards w/ TD in last game vs. NFC. WR EMMANUEL SANDERS had team-high 78 rec. yards last week. WR JERRICHO COTCHERY (398) needs 2 rec. to reach 400 career. WR DEREK MOYE posted 1st career TD vs. Cinâ?¦LB LAMARR WOODLEY (53) needs 1 sack to surpass GREG LLOYD (53.5) for 5th-most by Steeler since â??82. LB LAWRENCE TIMMONS aims for 3rd game in row w/ sack vs. NFCâ?¦S RYAN CLARK leads team with 20 tackles in â??13. WAGERWEB TRENDS: Bears are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games after accumulating more than 250 yards passing in their previous game. Bears are 1-5-1 ATS in their last 7 games overall. Bears are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games following a S.U. win. Steelers are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games following a S.U. loss. Steelers are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games following a ATS loss. Steelers are 1-4-1 ATS in their last 6 home games. Steelers are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games in Week 3.

Written by WagerWeb for

Betting the Early Super Bowl Line

I wanted to present
a purely statistical analysis of the remaining team’s probabilities of winning
and advancing in the Divisional Round, Conference Championship, and Super Bowl.
This is not an article about, who I like, but rather to take a look at where the
remaining teams chances lie based on current situations, power ratings, and
historical patterns. First’ let’s look at the Vegas Odds. For the Super Bowl,
whoever wins the anticipated showdown between the Broncos and Patriots will win.
Denver is 11/4 and New England 7/2 to win the Super Bowl. The runner up will be
the winner of the NFC showdown between the Packers and 49ers this weekend.

are listed as 6/1 favorites to win the Super Bowl. Coincidentally, the Seahawks,
who are on the road this week again on the East Coast to face the Falcons are
both listed at 7/1 favorites. Baltimore and Houston are afterthoughts both
listed at 18/1 favorites. Based on these odds favoring an AFC team to win the
Super Bowl it stands to reason that the early line for the Super Bowl shows the
AFC favored by three points. There are some 2 ½ lines, but paying a hefty -130
vig. I do think making an early bet taking the AFC representative at -3 is a
solid opportunity. I strongly believe that once the two opponents are decided,
the line will be at minimum four and more likely six. The reason for this is
that the greatest upset potential is in the NFC with four teams that are near
equals. Let’s not forget too, that Super Bowl winners have a top-10 scoring
defense. This really doesn’t help in this year’s remaining teams.

Seattle ranks
best allowing 15.2 PPG, 49ers second allowing 17.1 PPG, Denver fourth 18.1 PPG,
Atlanta fifth 18.7 PPG, Houston ninth 20.2 PPG, Green Bay 10th allowing 20.4
PPG, New England 11th 20.7 PPG, and Baltimore 12th 20.8 PPG. The 49ers defense
has given up 29.7 PPG over their last three games ranking 27th worst in the NFL.
Green Bay is their opponent and has allowed 18.0 PPG over their last three
games, but have allowed 24.5 PPG in their road games this season. That by itself
makes for an ‘anything can happen scenario’. I’ll mention another variable that
I do believe is very meaningful. Peyton manning is extremely poor in cold
weather conditions. In games he has played in temps under 20 degrees he has
thrown just 1 TD along with seven interceptions. Of course, Manning has now had
a full season with Denver, but just eight home games and none even close to what
the weather conditions will be this weekend. Food for thought to say the least
before jumping all over Denver.

So, looking at the purely statistical
projections, my work comes up with the following odds. The Patriots have the
greatest probability of winning the Super Bowl. They have an 80% chance of
winning this week over the Texans and a 50% probability of winning the AFC
Championship and then a 35% chance of winning the Super Bowl. Denver has a 68%
probability of winning this week and then 35% chance of defeating the Patriots,
and a 25% chance of winning the Super Bowl. Obviously, if Denver would win the
AFC Championship, their odds of winning the Super Bowl would rise to nearly the
level of the Patriots. In the NFC, the 49ers have a 62% probability of defeating
the Packers, 35% chance of winning the NFC Championship, and just 15% chance of
winning the Super Bowl. The Packers, if they upset the 49ers, have a 38% chance
of winning the NFC Championship, which is higher than the 49ers. Essentially,
the reason is that the Packers would have greater momentum and a much better
matchup than the 49ers against either the Seahawks or the Falcons. As great as
the Texans were for the first 12 games of the season, they have just a 4% chance
of winning the Super Bowl and a 7% chance of winning the AFC Conference

Moreover, the same can said with similar projections for the
Ravens, so the AFC is truly a two team race to the Super Bowl. From the stats
database, it would be a monumental upset if both Denver and New England were not
representing the AFC in the Super Bowl. In the NFC, any of the four teams have
realistic chances to be the NFC representative. If, for example, a Seattle, or
Green bay makes it to the Super Bowl, the AFC will favored by a whole lot more
than the 2 ½ point spread. That fact, by itself. is why I like taking the early
Super Bowl line at -3.  Written by John Ryan of