Jeff’s 2019 MLB Predictions and Awards

AL EAST

1) New York Yankees (97-65)

2) Boston Red Sox (89-73) WILD CARD

3) Tampa Bay Rays (85-77) WILD CARD

4) Toronto Blue Jays (76-86)

5) Baltimore Orioles (59-103)

AL Central

1) Cleveland Indians (97-65)

2) Minnesota Twins (82-80)

3) Chicago White Sox (73-89)

4) Kansas City Royals (68-94)

5) Detroit Tigers (66-96)

AL WEST

1) Houston Astros (97-65)

2) LA Angels (81-81)

3) Oakland A’s (79-83)

4) Seattle Mariners (78-84)

5) Texas Rangers (70-92)

NL EAST

1) Washington Nationals (92-70)

2) Philadelphia Phillies (90-72) WILD CARD

3) New York Mets (87-75)

4) Atlanta Braves (84-78)

5) Miami Marlins (67-95)

NL Central

1) St. Louis Cardinals (90-72)

2) Milwaukee Brewers (88-74) WILD CARD

3) Chicago Cubs (84-78)

4) Cincinnati Reds (81-81)

5) Pittsburgh Pirates (79-83)

NL WEST

1) Los Angeles Dodgers (95-67)

2) Colorado Rockies (85-77)

3) San Francisco Giants (80-82)

4) San Diego Padres (79-83)

5) Arizona D-bax (73-89)

AL Champion: New York Yankees

NL Champion: LA Dodgers

World Series winner: LA Dodgers in 7

AL MVP: Mike Trout (LA Angels)

NL MVP: Bryce Harper (Philadelphia)

AL CY Young: James Paxton (NY Yankees)

NL CY Young: Aaron Nola (Philly)

AL Rookie of the Year: Vladimir Guerrero Jr…….Easily! (Tor)

NL Rookie of the Year: Victor Robles (Wash)

AL Comeback player: Carlos Correa (Hou)

NL Comeback player: Corey Seager (LAD)

AL Manager of the Year: Kevin Cash (Tampa Bay)

NL Manager of the Year: Gabe Kapler (Philly)

Good Luck this baseball season!

Follow Jeff on Twitter @ jhsportsline

Baseball’s MLB second half push

In the American League it appears it was all but wrapped up with the Yankees, Red Sox, Indians, Astros and Mariners making the playoffs, however Oakland has made a push just 3.5 games back of Seattle for that second wildcard. That race out West should be an enjoyment to watch in the second half with more pressure as one gets in and one goes home. The other race to watch is the AL East to see if Boston or New York will take the division and who will settle for the wildcard. The third thing to keep an eye on is who will be the top team to secure home field between the Yankees, Red Sox and Astros. Look for a great race, with the Yankees taking the division by a game, Boston to be the top wildcard, Cleveland taking the Central, Houston winning the AL West and Seattle holding on over Oakland to make the playoffs. These teams will set up for a strong month of playoff baseball in the American League.

The National League is wide open with all three divisions up for grabs and the wild card very busy with multiple teams vying for the last two spots. The East is a three-team race with Philadelphia in first, Atlanta ½ game back and Washington 5.5 games back. In the Central the Cubs are in first place by 2.5 games over Milwaukee and St. Louis is 7.5 games back. Out West its crazy with the Dodgers, Diamondbacks, Rockies, and Giants within four games of first place. The Dodgers are first, ½ game back is Arizona, Colorado is 2 games back and San Francisco four games back. Milwaukee is the first wildcard by a game with Atlanta currently holding the second wildcard by a half game. All five playoff spots will make for exciting races as no one is a lock. With a week and half left before the trade deadline what moves will be made to push a team over the top? The Dodgers made their move picking up Manny Machado to fill their hole at shortstop and that will push them over the top to win the NL West by a couple of games. The Cubs are hitting their stride and will be pushed by Milwaukee, but beat them out as the Cubs win the division by a few games. The East will be the closest race with the young Phillies and Braves playing strong in September, but will fall short to Washington who will capture the division crown by a game. The wildcard will be the best race with Arizona, Colorado, Milwaukee, St. Louis, San Francisco, Atlanta and Philadelphia fighting for the two wildcards. Look for Milwaukee and Arizona to advance into the playoffs and one game do or die on the strength of their pitching both starting and relieving coming up big down the stretch. The National League five playoff teams will be Washington, Chicago, Los Angeles, Milwaukee and Arizona with any team to advance and represent the National League.

Written by Frank Jordan of VegasTopDogs.

Baseball Betting Made Fun with Total Runs Scored First Four Innings

Betting on Major League Baseball can be one of the most profitable sports to bet on in all of pro sports and the “wise guys” make a very good living doing just that. Baseball is built for the long haul so if you are looking for a gambling quick fix, this may not be your sport. If you are looking for a game that can make you a ton of money over the course of a season, then baseball is definitely your game.

When betting baseball two very important points come to mind, that is have a budget and by budget we mean, know what you can spend nightly and have a plan as to how much you want to spend on each game; stick to it.

Three Good Ways to Buy Bitcoins at an Online Sportsbook

 

Baseball is a demanding sport to bet on and as a bettor you must be prepared to lose. This is the one sport that you must budget for loss. It’s very simple, in baseball, you are going to win a lot and lose many games over the course of a season. The reason for this is a “loss factor”. Baseball is an extremely long season with 162 games in a schedule. The best of the best in baseball win around 100 games and lose around 50-60 games each season. As a gambler, you must pick your spots.

 

Find a great online baseball sportsbook. Bookies are a dime a dozen on the internet, everyone wants your money but is everyone willing to pay out quickly when you beat them? There are bookies that cater to baseball and baseball bonuses, do your homework and find the ones that cater to baseball and that cater to American players.

 

A few of tonight games are a great example of the difficulties in betting baseball such as the Dodgers taking on the Marlins with Kershaw on the mound and Vegas posting an early line of -360 the Astros taking on the Angels with Verlander at -220. With these kinds of numbers it’s hard to win anything. Not many gamblers want to spend $3.60 to win a dollar or $2.20 in the Astros case. Both of these numbers are huge and it’s a risk that most simply won’t take.

 

Pay Per Head’s Live In-Game MLB Betting Options

This leads to a great example of how to beat Vegas at their own game. We know that Kershaw and Verlander are pitching tonight’s games and we know the reputation for both of these guys. Although Kershaw hasn’t opened the season in grand fashion as he sits ate 1-3 on the year, you can count on him breaking out of this funk and finding a rhythm sooner than later. It’s bound to happen and it will. Verlander has started the season off in grand fashion at 3-0 and he looks like the same ole trusty and reliable Verlander. He is tough to beat and will be hard to beat tonight.

Playing totals in the first four innings can be lucrative and well worth your time and picking your spots is important. Tonight is one of those nights. Verlander is taking on the Angels who happen to be hitting well and have opened the season at 16-8, the Dodgers and Kershaw are taking on the Marlins and Vegas has piled it on tonight thinking that the Marlins have no chance. There is no guarantee of anything in baseball and anything can happen.

Play it safe and jump on the first five inning totals. Verlander and Kershaw are not going to surrender many runs through the first four against anybody. Check with your favorite bookie for the latest lines and odds and have fun.

What is the definition of a sports dynasty

We as sports fans have watched a multitude of great teams come and go over many tears of watching the amazing sports that we love. Teams like the Boston Celtics, the New York Yankees, Dallas Cowboys and most recently, the New England Patriots. What is one thing that we could all actually be in agreeance on.  Odds are, they have been consistent historical winners, and oftentimes, the sheer mentioning of these teams brings anger and frustration to fans of other teams, and opposing fan bases get annoyed and aggravated when hearing about them.
Because they have been incredibly successful. They had a period where they were dominating their division, their conferences, and their leagues for a lengthy amount of time, and this in itself, angers others. And if we are being completely honest with ourselves, as fans, they are the teams that we wish our teams could emulate. Who wouldn’t love their underachieving, yet steady 7-9 football team to rack up 12 wins in the season every year, like the New England Patriots or have the reputation and great players, seemingly always, like Pittsburgh and be a preseason favorite to win it all, before the season even begins? We all would love that.
By definition from dictionary.com – a dynasty is regarded as a noun 1. a sequence of hereditary rulers: an Egyptian dynasty or 2. any sequence of powerful leaders of the same family: the Kennedy dynasty
But is that what you, as a sports fan consider as a dynasty?
A ruler?
Lets examine.
A teams season wins count for something. A winning team that has been putting up a large amount of wins a season for a lengthy and long period of time is a huge component for being called a dynasty. In the NBA, the Cleveland Cavaliers have racked up a .654 win pct over the last 3 seasons – which is far ahead of the next best teams in the Eastern conference  like hot teams like the Toronto Raptors and the Boston Celtics. Winning is hard anyway you look at it, but winning 65% of your games for a lengthy period of time is pretty impressive. Not having the oddball eye opening season of big wins, like the New York Giants or the Portland Trail Blazers – but the 15 straight seasons of 10 wins or more like the New England  Patriots or 8 of the last 11 seasons, like the Pittsburgh Steelers  is something to be admired.
Playoff appearances have to count for a huge part of the equation, absolutely. For instance, New England has made the tournament for 9 straight seasons. The fact is, a team that has been able to utterly dominate their division and blow passed them, and get to the playoffs for so many years straight, is pretty impressive. Who wouldn’t want to feel they had a team that did that every single season? And making it to the championship of their sport is beyond comprehension for the vast majority of sports fans. It isn’t commonplace, which is sometimes misunderstood. What the Buffalo Bills did back in the 90’s was amazing, lets be completely honest about that. How many teams make the Super Bowl – let alone, 4 straight? I will tell you…. it doesn’t happen, that is why we always cherish the precious moment if our team makes it there.
Do you seriously consider the Bills a dynasty though? Or when you think of dynasties do you think of Troy Aikman and the Dallas Cowboys? You think of Dallas and I will tell you why. Not only did they win 3 Super Bowls during a 4 year timeframe, but they were one of the teams to beat for about a decade. And going back to an original statement – why do you think Dallas has so many fans that dislike the team? Because they won and they won for a long period of time.
That’s why.
Championships are the ultimate way to openly judge a dynasty. How many times have they won the top honors as the ultimate team to beat. The Yankees won 5 championships over 14 years from 1996-2009, and made it to the World Series 6 times in 8 years. The Patriots have made it to at least the conference championship at least 10 times over 15 seasons. And the Celtics hung up 11 titles from 1956 to 1968.
It’s trying for most of teams, especially those that are usually a middling organization, like the New Orleans Saints, the Detroit Pistons and the Indiana Pacers and you may question why or what happened, or the best of the hypothetical questions  the “what if…” Trust me, we all have entertained those deep thoughts in our heads….but then reality comes back around, and who  actually completed their goals and made the right draft picks and hired the right coaches.
Regardless of how you calculate the way you measure a teams success factor to be a dynasty. A team that wins and wins big consistently for a multitude of years, that’s what a dynasty is. A team that doesn’t play down to their opponents, a team that teams fear, and wins across their league – that is the true signs and key to being called a real dynasty. A team that seems to never get worse, a team that thrill their fans and infuriates fans of other teams, based on their immense amount of success, that is when your team has become a real dynasty.
In sports games we often judge a team, by their championships, or a player, often unfairly, by the 5 boxes that we look at. But a team that brings championships to teams, is the ultimate sign of success for an organization, and those are considered what makes a true dynasty.

2017 MLB Prediction

The 2016 season was historic with two teams who had a long drought of not winning the championship as the Cubs and Indians squared off in the fall classic. Cleveland, on the strength of their bullpen, jumped out to a 3-1 series lead. Chicago had their backs against the wall and over 100 years of losing to break. Which they did with wins in game five 3-2, game six 9-3 behind their bullpen where the Cleveland bullpen got tired. Game seven was a classic for all time going into extra innings before the Cubs put up a pair in the 10th and held on to win 8-7.

What will the 2017 season in baseball bring? If it’s as exciting as the World Baseball Classic won by the USA, it will be filled with a bunch of dramatic moments and tape measure home runs. With some of the players ramped up and in midseason form they will be performing at a high level and make for a full season of quality play.

The American League is an interesting draw as the Central will go to Cleveland as they are the defending AL Champs and only got better adding Edwin Encarnacion. Kansas City still has its core players, but lack quality pitching. Detroit is in the same boat, but getting older and will make some noise maybe good enough for a wild card. Minnesota and Chicago White Sox are rebuilding. The West and East are wide open with plenty of teams loaded up and ready to bust out the bats and take the division. Texas is the defending division champs, though Seattle and Houston were right there for a playoff spot, but fell short in 2016. LA Angels were 74-88, but have a decent team to turn that around and make a run if they improve on their road record from last year of 34-47. Oakland is still rebuilding as they came in last place last year at 69-93. The East was the best division in baseball with four teams over .500 with Boston taking the top spot and adding Chris Sale in the offseason. Baltimore was second and are always solid with Machado leading the offense and Showalter at the helm. Toronto is also strong and re-signed Batista, but lost Encarnacion and replaced him with Morales. Toronto’s main strength is their pitching. The Yankees got younger and the youth gave them the shot in the arm they needed to finish 2016 above .500 at 84-78. Within 2016 they shredded some age and picked up a lot of prospects in trades. The Yankees brought back Chapman to solidify the bullpen and look to get big years from the baby bombers. Tampa Bay finished last and have a good young team, but they go with how well their pitchers do.

The National league will be a bit status quo with the East being a two-team race between Washington and the Mets. Miami, Philadelphia and Atlanta will be better than last year, but not enough to make the playoffs. The Central is the Cubs and everyone else like last year as they won the division by 17.5 games. The main question is can St. Louis or Pittsburgh make any noise in the division or wild card? Milwaukee and Cincinnati are still in rebuilding mode as they are a few pieces away from making a run. The West is going to be wild again this year as the Giants and Dodgers will continue their back and forth rivalry and be jockeying for first place position all season long. Colorado, San Diego and Arizona are going to improve closer to the .500 mark after all finishing 12+ games under .500. The biggest question isn’t who will make the playoffs, but who will finish where, the division winner or wild card?

The playoff teams will be Boston winning the AL East on the strength of their pitching and clutch hitting, Cleveland dominating to an AL Central crown with minimal competition, Texas taking the West with strong hitting and timely pitching. The wildcards will be the Yankees and Toronto. In the NL Washington takes the East, Cubs take the Central and San Francisco will play two solid halves of the season to take the West. The wild card winners will be LA Dodgers and NY Mets. The Yankees will win the wildcard play-in game to take on Cleveland who are just too veteran and the Yankees are a year away from serious contenders. Texas and Boston will go five games in the ALDS with Texas winning at home to advance to the Championship series. Cleveland and Texas will have an offensive ALCS with Cleveland returning to the World Series with some unfinished business. The NL playoffs will playout with the Mets winning the wildcard game over the Dodgers in an epic pitcher’s duel and setting up a showdown with the Cubs. Washington and San Francisco will have a great five game battle with San Francisco winning games Bumgarner starts, but it will be Washington winning in five. Chicago will have a tough time scoring against the quality pitching of the Mets who will advance to a divisional match up with Washington. Washington, having seen the Mets and their pitching 19 times during the regular season, will be poised to jump on the hitter’s pitches as Daniel Murphy has a monster series carrying the Nationals to the World Series. World Series match-up of Washington vs. Cleveland will be a great series, but Cleveland’s advanced hitting and deep bullpen will lead them to erase the memories of last year by winning the World Series in six games.

Written by Frank Jordan of VegasTopDogs.

Sean Higg’s MLB Win Total Thoughts

MikeTrout

Another season of baseball is upon us. Here are my thoughts on the win/loss projections.

AL East

Baltimore Orioles – OVER 82.5 – These guys surprised some last year. I know they lost a big bat in Cruz, but they have enough to win here. I think they could win the East. The pitching not sexy, but very solid. Try not to fall in love with names. Look at results. Steve Pearce could be a dark-horse MVP contender.

AL Central

Cleveland Indians – OVER 83.5 – I like this bunch. I think they are winning the central. People can love on Detroit all they want. They can be an Under (84.5) team in my eyes. The rotation is the best in the central.

AL West

Oakland A’s – OVER 80.5 – 88, 96, 94 – Those are the win totals the last 3 years for Oakland. I know they lost some guys, but I am not betting against Billy Beane. And neither should you.

Seattle Mariners – OVER 86.5 – Another team I will ride with this rotation. They added Cano last year, and bring in some protection with HR basher Nelson Cruz. But it is all about King Felix and the princes behind him.

NL East

Philadelphia Phillies – UNDER 68.5 – What is there to say? I think this is the worse team in all of baseball. Hamels will be gone by the All-Star break.

NL Central

Pittsburgh Pirates – OVER 83.5 – Like this bunch. I think the Cards as always will be tough. But we are getting good value here. 88-94-79. Last 3 years of Pitt baseball. I am looking at Gerritt Cole to make a huge jump. The OF can be very good.

NL West

Colorado Rockies – UNDER 71.5 – So I do like some of their bats. That being said, these guys are going to lose games 8-7 because the pitching staff is atrocious. Won’t be shocked to see some guys dealt by the end of June.

Others to look at

Under NY Yankees 81.5

Over Toronto Blue Jays 82.5

Under Detroit Tigers 84.5

Under Texas Rangers 75.5

Over Miami Marlins 81.5

Under Cincinnati Reds 77.5

Over Arizona Diamondbacks 71.5

Last season I went 235-240-11 for a profit of +1311. If you like daily underdog action, then I am the MLB capper you have been looking for.