Can Mitch Trubisky get to the next level

I never was someone who head first bought into Mitch Trubisky coming out of North Carolina. With an 8-5 season on his shoulder and 13 starts in 2016 – it wasn’t enough for me to think he was going to be a big-time star in the NFL. Trubisky was very accurate in college, with 67% for his career – but had a good college receiving core with Ryan Switzer and Bug Howard, and I feel his one good year in UNC brought him some overvalued praise. But I would think many of us thought Jared Goff was a bust, after his 2016 season with 54% passing and his poor decision making – and we were proven wrong, with his 2 consecutive seasons of 28+ TDs and 62% passing rate – so who knows?
I think there has been some improvement across the board, as he had gone from 59% to 66% completion rate from 2017-2018 and 2.1% to 5.5% TD rate in the same period – all the while learning the QB position in the NFL under different regimes. Not too bad. And Trubisky only had one year under Nagy and before that – John Fox didn’t do anything to help him, and as he gets more comfortable in the Bears offense, I think he should improve his game. This is his 3rd season – in his 1st season, he was stuck with Fox – who was tanking the team, and he only played 12 games. In 2018 he played with a new head coach, with a new scheme, and he helped bring them to the postseason, and being honest – Trubisky was a very big part in last years success. Mitch isn’t the greatest passer in the league and probably never will be, but he has the ability to win the game for his team or lose it for them.
I don’t see Bears Mitch ever being a 40 passes / game, spread offense type QB, and he isn’t necessarily one the QB types that people crave to watch play the game.  In his first season in the Nagy offense – he started out shaky in the first 3 games – but then looked good heading through the last 3 games of the season with 3TD and 0 picks over the last few games. He has been more than subpar this season with 0 TDs thrown yet – so the process needs to stay the course.
A huge problem with this generation of fans – is they expect these young guys to come out of school and dominate the league, and win a SuperBowl right away. Only a small amount of guys have been able to do that – most probably should ride the pine before taking over – and earn the chance to be the guy. He has shown a few glimpses of being the Bears long time QB –  but his WR group have not been great either. Mitch needs to stop getting so anxious, and trust his guys – one of his biggest issues has been his consistency, with several games of less than 60% passing and 4 games with 2+ picks and then 3 games with 3+ TD passes and 3 games with 70%or better passing along with carrying a 10+ YPA in those games in 2018 – and it is obvious he is still working out some off season rust.
I wasn’t a fan of the pick in 2017 – and I still don’t think they should have traded what they did for him – and he has been awful so far with 174 YPG and a 58% completion pct. I think this season cam still end up as a leap for him and Nagy – Mitch Trubisky should get better – and I do look for him to improve. He still is making some poor decisions, and I think this high expectationed season could make or break him. But, Trubisky is nowhere near his ceiling yet. The Bears have looked less than great so far at 1-1 and are at the bottom of the NFL in passing yards this season – and Mitch has been repugnant at the helm. Trubisky seems to be getting more comfortable in the pocket – but the 25 year old still needs to get better with going through progressions, I don’t think I see him ever cracking the top 5 – but I think he could be in the top 12-15 conversation.
So here we go.

Do the Bears have their franchise QB in Mitch Trubisky on MNF

When  Mitch Trubisky was drafted at the #2 overall spot for Chicago, many Bears fans were booing the selection. Was it who they drafted, or how high he was drafted?
Trubisky certainly has the “good NFL size,” at 6-2 225lbs, a solid arm and the good ability to throw from the pocket. And he can also throw decently when he gets rolling out. Fact is though, Mitch finds himself behind the proverbial 8 ball in Chicago now though. And there is also a ton of pressure on him – as the Bears traded picks, and went up to get him at 2nd overall. Bears fans will be expecting this guy to waltz in and toss 4500 YDs and 30 TDs for the team in a very short time.
I also feel, in sorts, Trubisky was a forced pick in Chicago. Considering who they potentially passed on, including WR Mike Williams, and DE Solomon Thomas, as of this article, already has shown quite quickly why he was so heralded. It ends up he has to be Peyton Manning or Aaron Rodgers for this pick to actually be worth the move up. Chicago really needs to look at top notch organizations like the Patriots or Packers as examples of how to run a successful football organization, with great drafts and player moves.
Trubisky shouldn’t yet be hailed as this team’s savior. Like most young QB’s, he has found himself staring down his WR1 for far too long. And as of the preseason –  for the most part, had only played against teams 2’s and 3’s, and was mediocre at best. He needs to learn how to throw the ball vs much better defenses than he’s ever seen in his football lifetime. He is going to need to learn to read defenses a lot faster.  Make those big adjustments when the pocket caves in around him. It seems, from what I have watched, he also tends to throw the ball, in bad spots, when pressured in the pocket.
It’s possible the Bears could still put together a decent defense on the field, with team sack leader, Akiem Hicks and upstart DB Kyle Fuller who has been a pleasant surprise with 20 tackles, good for 2nd on the team – along with a very good ground attack with former 1300+ YD rusher, Jordan Howard and Tarik Cohen, who has been really fun to watch this year with his utilitarian ability.  And the TE option of 13 catch Zach Miller – could also greatly pick up the lack of their healthy WR options.
The Bears should also not be too shy about exploring looking at options Head Coach next season, maybe a guy who can help a young QB like Trubisky out. If the Bears and Trubisky really want to go forward, full throttle – Fox may not be the guy to ride the boat with. Fox has shown in the past, he oftentimes holds onto some players a bit too long. He had Jake Delhomme starting in Carolina even when his quarterbacking ability decline was obvious, as he was completing under 58% of his throws, and putting up a few random TD passes and throwing picks every 35 seconds. I was not totally surprised Glennon got benched after just 4 games with a passer rating of 76.9 and throwing 4 TDs and 5 picks. And now, Trubisky now takes over as a starting QB, but can he put up better numbers and complete around the 66% completion percentage that Glennon had?
The vast majority of Trubisky’s passes and drop backs in college were from the shotgun. So he lacks the experience of under center play. He is going to have to learn fast footwork playing from under the center. When playing at North Carolina, he also wasn’t asked to throw into the tight windows in traffic, his guys were spread out, almost all the time. Those widows close in a real quick hurry in the big league. Truth be told, Mitch Trubisky was good but he was in a mediocre conference that didn’t have much great talent and he still couldn’t win big games. As the Tar Heels finished 8-5.
This move was looked at, as not a great one – and could go down as one of the riskiest moves in NFL draft history. The Bears may have made a poor decision – especially considering the players they could have tried to get over him. You simply don’t draft a player that high – unless a team plans to get him on the field right away and, the part that could bite them, is they passed on many different players that could, and will, start for their teams much faster, and succeed much quicker.
It just doesn’t tend to be logical thought when a team drafts a “project player” with the #2 overall pick in the draft.
That’s usually what the later rounds are lauded for.
The Bears may have blown it.
Chicago will find out soon enough.