A bigger disappointment, QB Matt Ryan or Russell Wilson

The Colts went out and made their big quarterback signing this year in the off season when they picked up 38-year-old Matt Ryan. A former MVP and a quarterback with great play and respect in his 14 years playing the position. The Colts have had some really raunchy recent history with QBs. Seemingly always just trying to find that one last piece for the team to make some real noise. When Andrew Luck retired back in 2018 and left the team scrambling for who was going to be the team leader, they went through Jacoby Brissett, Philip Rivers, Carson Wentz, and of course, now they picked up Matt Ryan. 

But Matt Ryan’s season this year has been anything but what the Colts have been expecting or hoping from him. With a season of 4 out of 7 games below 252 yards and the season total of 9 TDs and 3 interceptions so far with just a 43.8 QBR, the 6-4 former Boston College quarterback has just been a disaster. Now granted the Colts have a running back in Jonathan Taylor who when healthy, they can fully expect to lean on and wanted to use Matt Ryan basically as a backup of insurance to move the ball through the air. So Matt Ryan’s job was really just to help the ship remain straight. Philip Rivers went 11-5, Carson Wentz had a record of 9-8, the offense for Rivers was 9th in the NFL, and the offense for Wentz was 9th in the NFL. Ryan on the other hand had the Colts sitting at 30th in the NFL and they’re looking more like a 6-7 win team right now. 

Now the Broncos went out and picked up Russell Wilson, the 34-year-old quarterback from Seattle. Wilson, a 12-year veteran that came in with 37,059 career passing yards and 292 career touchdown passes would certainly be expected to bring some quarterback power to your team. Wilson went to a team that had some good wide receivers in Cortland Sutton and Jerry Judy along with a really nice double running back tag team with Melvin Gordon and Javonte Williams. And as of this article, Russell Wilson has put up just a 58.8% completion rate, 6 TDs and 35.5 QBR this year and has Denver bumbling along on offense putting up just 15.1 /game. 

Russell Wilson has had 3 games where he threw for a 54% completion rate or worse, and still has not had more than 2 touchdowns in a game. Denver wom 7 games last year with a quarterback carousel with the offensive line that they have in the wide receivers and the running backs. It makes you wonder why hasn’t Russell brought this team to another level? A QB of his status and skill set would surely be able to bring them another 3-4 wins, especially with a pair of 900 yard WRs on the team in 2021.

Matt Ryan lost his starting job to a 24 year old kid Sam Ehlinger. Nobody coming into the 2022 campaign – would have expected to see their veteran signing get pushed to the bench. But, when all that is said is done, with the amount of collateral that was used to get Russell Wilson and the amount of skilled offensive weapons that Denver has, the Broncos still definitely have been the most disappointed in their big offseason quarterback pickup. Don’t be disappointed with your NFL Football picks, be sure to visit VegasTopDogs today!

Indianapolis is going to be in good shape with Carson Wentz

The Indianapolis Colts came into the 2021 season with a 10th ranked defense, a strong Oline, and a pretty solid RB duo in Jonathan Taylor and Nyheim Hines, those things are going to make the former Eagle QB much more comfortable at the helm. The Colts look to have been built the right way, they have the ability to run the ball, and they can keep their QB upright and not terrified from the snap.

Remember, back in 2017, Carson Wentz was an MVP candidate in Reich’s offense, Wentz’s best seasons were when Frank Reich was the OC in Philly. The 6-5 QB knows what Reich’s game looks like, and he flourished In it. To me, he should bounce back in a big way this year. If we are also being real about things, the Eagles have gotten worse since Reich left back in 2018 – and Carson’s numbers went down since Reich left. In 2017 Wentz put up 33 TD passes with a massive 7.5% TD throwing pct to just 7 picks. Since 2018 Wentz has each and every year gone steadily down in his TD pct, throwing an average of 21 TD passes, and went 17-21-1. There is simply no comparison.

I think the former 33 TD passer could also end up as a Pro Bowler and Indy can be a top 3-4 seed this season. The Colts were 11-5 with Phillip Rivers at QB, Rivers threw for 24 TDs and 4100+ YDs at 39 years old. Rivers was painfully immobile, and Wentz has age on his side, at just 28 years old, and has been shown to be able to move. They struggled in week 1 – I wouldn’t lose my mind if I am a Colts fan. The Hawks are a very good team with a lot of chemistry – it will be ok.

Wentz can lead the team better than Rivers, and Rivers was fine. The deep ball will be there far more, and Wentz brings much more mobility with a career 4.1 YPC, and his better mobility will make things easier on Jonathan Taylor. Carson isn’t Mahomes, but if you don’t think he makes the Colts better, you’re going to be stupidly shocked. This trade was a steal for Indianapolis, pushing them into even bigger contenders than the team from last season.

The Eagles have crumbled into a void due to horrible management and bad coaching. Granted, the Eagles were wrecked with injuries, and for some reason Doug Pederson never wanted to run the ball with their talented RB, Miles Sanders. Philadelphia also had a bottom 10 defense in the league, giving up 26ppg and anyone with a football in hand to throw for 400 vs them, so they were almost always playing from behind. And since, have decided that Pederson was no longer the guy for this team, after going 13-18-1 over the last 2 years.

Wentz’s fall from grace had more to do with the abominations running the Eagles franchise, Wentz had no offensive line or steady WRs for the last several seasons. Their defense previously had been in the bottom half of the NFL for 2 straight seasons, and simply look at who they drafted. JJ Arcega-Whiteside over 1300+ YD WR, DK Metcalf. Jalen Reagor over 1400 YD WR, Justin Jefferson. Nothing in those picks shows proper scouting.

The Eagles putting everything in the Hurts locker might have been a quick trigger reaction – even though he played pretty darn good in week 1 with 264 and 3 TDs, we still need to see if he can play high quality football for the whole season. They still have some Oline problems, and Hurts can’t rely on running read options every single game in the NFL. The love fest for Hurts and jumping all in was a knee jerk reaction at best. I feel Indy made out in the trade. Indy has a far better line than Philly and, although it didn’t look like it in the first week, they have a better defense as well. He will without question, be much better. The Colts will be making the playoffs, and the Eagles won’t be, and it will likely be like that for the next 4 or 5 years.

Which player coming back from injury will have the biggest impact

It only takes one wrong twist to derail a special or budding career, and in the NFL we see it happen far more often than anyone would ever want to see. And, unfortunately, as always, we see great players get taken off on stretchers or limping off to the sidelines, and teams championship hopes get smashed against the rocks, when their stars go down. We will examine and look over the players who were lost and had their season cut short due to injuries and some really bad luck. Which players will bounce back with the best scope – for the team situation they are going to be in.
Minnesota was knocked off track when Dalvin Cook went down in game 4. The RB from Florida State was on his way to running for glory for Minnesota – then hearts dropped and faces went numb when he didn’t get up off the field. Field vision and speed can be hard to replace, Jerick McKinnon and Latavius Murray tried to do their best to make up for his awesome presence, but they ended up being adequate with a 3.9 YPC between them, and Case Keenum and the passing game became their offensive identity. Cook was going to be the guy to sustain the teams hopes during the 2017 regular season. He was drafted for a reason, which was to become the RB for a team that had a running mentality for the last 10 years. Cook had 4.8 YDs/carry avg and had 4 runs of 20+ yards and even threw in 3 receptions/game for good measure in his limited time on the field.
On Indianapolis, Andrew Luck was lost for the whole season with a shoulder injury, but, if there was a player to believe in, it would be the dedicated QB named Andrew Luck. Luck will be returning to a struggling team in Indy with some good offensive receivers set in place.
Do you think other teams worry about them getting Luck back on the field? You better believe they do, getting him back will be huge to this team, the Colts QBs only had 2 games throwing for 300 or more YDs in 2017. Luck has been a revolutionary QB, and with five 300+ games in his last season played in 2016 – his absence was more than just a hiccup for the Colts, as their team went from a usually competitive team over the prior years, to just 4-12 in 2017.
Green Bay losing Aaron Rodgers was a little different as he was taken out vs a rival team in Minnesota. The tackle heard round the world (which was a legal hit, by the way). Green Bay was not able to win games and really even show up, oftentimes vs teams in the division, without him. Rodgers brings the Packers that leadership that was greatly missed – Green Bay will welcome back their beloved pro bowler.
Brett Hundley was asked to do a bit too much at QB (which meant play QB) for the Pack with 12 picks and just 9 TDs – with Rodgers back they see again, why he means so much to this team. Opposing teams tested Hundley time and time again because of his bad decision making and lack of skills, which were proven with his season. Rodgers return – changes the landscape.
Philly felt sheer terror in their hearts when Carson Wentz was lost due to torn ACL. Nick Foles then stepped in and brought grit and great play to the Eagles when Wentz was down for the count. He played huge, with 5 TDs in 7 regular season games, and a 73% passing completion and 6 TDs in the playoffs, as the Eagles ended up as Champions in 2017. Wentz does so much for Philly in terms of playing QB but also in leadership – Wentz is a critical part of what the Eagles expect to have built for their future.
Dalvin Cook  has the talent and the team around him to have great success with great teammates, I expect a 100% comeback from the RB from FSU. He will return to his normal 19 carries/game workload when the season gets plugging along, Cook was on his way to a breakout rookie year, and will stay on track. He’s got great hips in his ability to swing out of breaks and awesome speed. With that he brings another huge level as a scoring threat to Minny, as he is a proven weapon in the open field.
Dalvin Cook should only continue to get better, and he’s got a huge ceiling, with Adam Thielen, Stefon Diggs, and Kyle Rudolph catching balls, and now with Kirk Cousins tossing the ball around. He is going to a team that was 13-3 last season, this team should be just as good, if not even better. With Dalvin Cook you know what you’re getting, he has confidence in his ability, and so do I. If he returns to his outstanding form when he was tallying 23 YDs receiving and 89 YDs/game – he’ll be in the conversation to be the best RB in the league.
In the end nothing but wishing healthy and successful future for every one of these athletes in the NFL – come back stronger than ever.
Regardless of what eventually happens, or what player makes the difficult trek back to the land of the NFL and stardom, any player coming back from a devastating injury deserves respect and a round of applause.

Is Trent Richardson the biggest RB bust we’ve ever seen

   We, as football fans have all watched and waited for the next big thing to come out of college to join the ranks of the NFL. Many are good, few are great, even less are legends. But then we run into the word, we all know, and loathe.
The word instantly brings a player or two (or two dozen) to mind in a flash. Faster than a pass from Dan Marino, we go into a debate on who was the worst. Who had the big upsides, who was expected to be the star QB, the legendary play making WR, or the bulldozer TD machine RB. It is a word that we never hope our team has labeled next to their draft pick.
But here we are. And there is a player that deserves recognition in being the biggest bust conversation. Trent Richardson from Alabama. We can ask if he could possibly be the biggest disappointment as a running back in NFL history. I think that statement is a very accurate assessment.
When Richardson came out of college the vast majority of people felt he was going to be pretty darn good. He was strong and quick, he went to a big name SEC school in Alabama. He crushed his opponents for 35 rushing TDs and 3130 yards in his 3 year career there. He scoured the gridiron for 5.8 YPC. He was going to be “that guy.” The Browns drafted him in 2012, at the number 3 spot, before Michael Floyd, Alshon Jeffery, and All-Pro RB Doug Martin as well.
Then 3 YPC happened. And missing holes happened. And finally the trade happened. And suddenly, Richardson was on the outside looking in. Recently, the Ravens signed the journeyman RB to a deal. With a below average offensive line, that pushed their backfield to only 92 YDs/ game, they are fortunate to have a big armed QB in Joe Flacco, that always keeps teams on their toes, for the big play. But Richardson hasn’t given any teams a reason to worry about him regardless of who is throwing the ball for his team.
The first thing we have to consider, if we are to discuss about the worst bust as a running back in the NFL, we have to really look at it all. What kind of time frame are we going to give a player to considered a bust? 10 games, a 3 YD rushing average, a 3 year time-frame?
When he first went to the Browns, I fell for it, and genuinely thought this kid was going to be a beast on the field, like the majority of others did.
Trent Richardson looked like he had so much potential. And so much skill to become a 1300-1400 YD back. Richardson wasn’t worn down, after 8-9 seasons of punishment, like many veterans do after some time. He simply never got off to make it to the next level. When he was playing as a rookie in 2012, he wasn’t horrendous, he had 6 games of 80+ yards on the ground. Which isn’t terrible. He ended his rookie season with 11 TDs on the ground. Which was good for 7th in the NFL on a whole. He had promise.
Obviously, we know, he didn’t have a great opportunity from the start of his career, when he was drafted by the Browns. But, no player that is grabbed that high in a draft, is going to a good team. There is a reason that the team is drafting in that spot. They are expecting the player they draft to be the guy who comes in and changes the mindset of the organization, to be the guy who makes them excitable for the fans, the player that gives them hope of a successful season and possibly become a guy for years to come to lead them in the playoffs and further.
The running back position, opposed to many other skilled positions, is typically the position to adjust the quickest at. If a player doesn’t continue to find his holes, or hit his speed pretty fast in the NFL, then they likely are going to not succeed at the next level. Of course we know the usual situations, that all running backs wear down as they get older. Which has been seen over and over in the annals of NFL history. But 29 games, and only 25 years old?  Trent Richardson had become a 3.1 yd/carry rusher?
No, he’s just a bad RB. End of story.
Now, 4 years later, after 614 carries and just 17 TDs, he has already played poorly for the Browns, Colts, and never even took the field for the Raiders, and now he is going to play with the Ravens. Maybe now that he has a chance to play with team like Ravens, who are a team that has been usually more RB friendly, he could be a better RB. But after this disastrous start to his young career, it is going to be very trying to come back from that. He was fully at fault for his poor career, he cannot point a finger at anyone. There are no more excuses for him as a RB in the NFL. This should be the last time he is given an opportunity to be a starting back in the league.
When the Browns, who have had their fair share of bad RBs over the last several years. Then the Raiders, who have been winning just an average of 4.5 games/year since 2012, have decided that a player doesn’t fit their teams, there has to be a reason. These are franchises that have had plenty of struggles and they still decided, that having almost anything else is better.
As a RB, he lacks the true RB vision that is needed. He was able to make a few catches in the flats, but that is where it ends for him. He never panned out anywhere close to where he was expected to be for his draft slot. We could line him up with the Ryan Leafs, Jamarcus Russells, as some of the all-time biggest busts in NFL history. He was a great college player, there is no question to that. But he never made the big adjustment to playing in the NFL, and at the highest standard of play. He always had the excellent physical strength and ability to bounce off tackles. It was his complete lack of vision. He misses holes seemingly all of the time.
This is a guy who went at the #3 slot in the 2012 draft. Behind only QB Andrew Luck and RGIII, who both had the world on a silver platter at that time. The world couldn’t get enough of either of those guys. So to be drafted that high, you really better be much, much more than a 400 YD runner. As stated, Doug Martin and Alshon Jeffery were picked after him, and we could easily say, they were far and away better picks than Richardson. Let’s not forget what makes this even more ridiculous. Being that he was drafted so high in the extremely important 1st round, but then was also then dealt off to the Colts for a 1st rounder in 2014, makes him a double bust.
There obviously, were several other RBs that fell apart and ended up in the slush pile of RB busts. The Jets had Blair Thomas, who was drafted 2nd overall in 1990 and his career as a player never panned out. Lawrence Phillips, from Nebraska, was a huge bust, and Karim Abdul Jabar, was a very low yardage gainer in the Miami run he had.
We can question, how does one judge a players worth? Their entire career, what they’ve done most recently, the value that they brought to the team, or how they were acquired? If Richardson was drafted in the 4-6 round range, I’d think nothing at all of his dismal career. It, for me, is the fact of his high draft spot and what he only produced from being taken that high in the 2012 draft class.
We need to remember, just because a player has excellent speed and is a great player in college, doesn’t mean they can make it to the elite level. The NFL is a league made of really amazing players, to stick around and hang with them, is very hard. Trent Richardson has been just bad at the professional level of football, and that is a fact. Considering his expectations, when he came into the league, I think this is true.
According to NFL Network, Richardson has the 2nd-worst career rushing average of any player with at least 500 carries since all the way back to the 1960s.
Simply put, Richardson, has been the worst high picked RB of all time according to VegasTopDogs experts..

Is there overhyping of Andrew Luck?



This season, Andrew Luck has had various people judge him a bit with more skepticism than typical. Unsure if it’s because of skills, expectations, or maybe because he almost lost at home to Terrell Pryor, and lost at home to 2012 8th overall pick, and an unsteady QB RyanTannehill.


He has been throwing the ball with spotty accuracy, hitting 59 % on the season, 236 his yards/game are at an unusually low end. Which after his rookie season of 273/ game, one would be led to believe this number would have been much better this season.

At home, in Lucas Oil Stadium, where the team is supposed to be dominant, being led by their general, Luck has been exceptional, winning 75% of his games, going back to last season. This year, so far has been satisfactory in the dome. Throwing for 261/game in home turf. On the road it has been another story, where his number drops significantly, with poor accuracy and only 214 passing yards/ game.

The season has been slippery, for him, losing Reggie Wayne after only 7 games, when he was still his absolute number 1 WR, getting 8 targets/ game, and hauling in 72 YPG. He was likely on his way to a 80+ catch, 1100+ yard year, for the 35 year old wide out. Lucks targets now include T.Y. Hilton as his WR1, his WR2 is Darrius Heyward-Bey, with a puny 10 YPC. Then we have the running situation, with recently benched, Trent Richardson, and his massive 2.8 YPC, which I would believe most would say has not worked out as a great deal for Indianapolis. I would conceive Cleveland feels pretty OK with that deal. So he still has some limited options to move the ball down field.


Luck has the innate leadership that one expects from their QB, with 10 game winning drives in 27 career games, so the kid has the clutch gene. And he does win big games, as he has done this year vs San Fran, Seattle, and Denver, throwing for only 205/ game in those games, but he also threw 5 TDs and 0 ints in those games as well.

Andrew Luck has been fine this season, leading his team to great wins over some top competition. We all hype up the next generation of players, no matter what the sport, sometimes a bit too much. In this case, I don’t believe he has been over hyped, at all. He came in with astronomically huge expectations on his shoulders, and has lived up to them in my opinion. Yes, are there things he still needs to improve on, like his accuracy and road play, of course, but lets also remember the seemingly outrageous time frame of the “old school” 3-4 years it generally takes a QB to adjust to the NFL game.


In a day and age where if a rookie QB isn’t dominating in the first 5 games, it seems they get knocked on and torn apart by the media like sheep in a wolves den. Andrew has a total of 27 games below his belt, and a 67% winning pct. I would have to say, he’s doing quite alright. Its good to be a Colts fan.

Written by TonyK of VegasTopDogs.com