The ATL Falcons need a new QB 

The Falcons have been a real tricky team to understand this year – which has been frustrating for their fans to say the least. Playing poorly during the first few drives of a game is almost tolerable – but when it starts to become a habit, that is where it can become a troubling concern for a team. Atlanta has been flat in almost every game, starting slow in almost every game –  as well as looking unprepared.

People have to stop making excuses for former MVP Matt Ryan, he has been a pro-bowler and has been a top notch QB many times in his 14 seasons, but his play against the better defenses this season hasn’t been very good where he has has gone 0-4 leading the Falcons to putting up just 8.25ppg and 216.75 YD /game, with 2 TDs and 7 picks. Ryan has also had problems struggling to beat teams on their home turf, with a 1-5 record, which is where he and the team should be thriving. So – if we break it down – it has been a train wreck for the Atlanta Falcons.

He doesn’t have the fastest feet, so when the front breaks down and gets through – he often eats the sack, as he has been put down 26 times so far. If he does have some time – he has been able to play adequately – but it clearly looks as if his lack of a superior Oline and subpar WRs are hindering him. The 6-4 QB has had a problem waiting for an open receiver to get open, but when his Oline breaks away the way it does, that is going to be a challenge.

It could be beneficial for them to have a more mobile QB who could possibly make a play with his feet when things break down. Would Atlanta be any worse off with a more mobile QB than where they are now?
Probably not.
The Falcons might need a QB that can handle the heat, when the front starts collapsing, a guy who can scramble and maybe make some plays. Atlanta doesn’t have the fortunes of having greatly talented WRs, or a top 5 Oline – which is why a mobile and better footed QB might work better for Atlanta. Having a mobile QB would be more preferable, for when things break down on the Oline –  and when Atlanta is getting too much pressure, having a more mobile QB who might be able to pick up 7-8 yards when things fall apart, and see what happens. A guy like that – could then be able to keep the defenses they face a little more unbalanced. They know Ryan isn’t a threat to move, let alone run for 10 yards. Tom Brady isn’t mobile, or have fast feet – but he also plays behind an Oline that is very strong and has great WRs for him to fire the ball to.

The Falcons Oline needs some work  – which is why having a mobile QB would probably be a benefit for them especially when their pocket passer is getting smacked around like he has. Atlanta knows the type of QB Matt Ryan is – yet they have not given him WRs that could help him, his receiving corps isn’t the group he needs around him, as he is now 36 years old and with 14 years of experience behind him. Between letting Julio go and the ongoing issues with Calvin Ridley, who they believed was going to be “their guy”  – they haven’t been able to recover with any real threats at the WR position.  Russell Gage has been inconsistent with 3 games of 6 catches of more, and 3 games with 30 or less yards, he either looks like a decent WR2 option or he is nonexistent, as his best receiver has been his TE Kyle Pitts this year with 709 YDs and 14.5 YPC.

Atlanta has underperformed this season, only scoring 18 /game. and the lack of Oline play for an aging QB has caused a ton of problems. Their 36 year old field general hasn’t had a ton of time to throw the ball – along with the team seemingly having no intention to fix this issue for their QB. Those kinds of problems can be the kiss of death for a team. Look for ATL to upgrade at QB with a top pick in the next draft.
Regardless of who the QB is.

Five Coaches on the Hot Seat

The NFL is unique in so many ways and the leash that is afforded coaches is unlike any we see in most of the other professional or even college ranks. Basketball coaches typically receive three seasons (or at least two) to get things back in place unless the results are brutal. Major League Baseball is usually at least two. The NFL is an entirely different animal though as we have seen in recent years with the examples being one and dones Steve Wilks in Arizona and Jim Tomzula in San Francisco. Hell, the Chargers fired Marty Schottenheimer in 2006 after he went 14-2.

 

Today, I want to take a look at the top five NFL coaches who are feeling the heat this season from most likely to be “relieved” of their duties to the least likely.

1-Dan Quinn-Atlanta Falcons

You want to talk about toeing the line, Quinn might be standing on it. The Falcons have a very good quarterback and have surrounded him with weapons in recent seasons but it is always something. They either turn the ball over in the RedZone or don’t get the ball to Julio Jones enough. On the defensive side of the ball they seem to rarely ever stop anyone and this season they let Vic Beasley walk. The Falcons are now three seasons removed from the greatest Super Bowl collapse in history and two seasons removed from their last playoff appearance. Owner Arthur Blank is not going to want to waste his window with Ryan/Gurley/Jones/Ridley for more than one more season.

2-Pat Shurmur-New York Giants

Being from New England, I know a lot of Giants fans and they aren’t happy. Shurmur is 9-23 in two seasons with the Giants and is riding superstar Saquon Barkley into the ground. After the disaster that was the Ben McAdoo era, you have to think that the Giants are ready to make a splash and Shurmur cannot lean on his resume’ for any more leash as his career record coaching record is 19-46.

3-Zac Taylor-Cincinnati Bengals

This one is probably not fair but life isn’t fair and it’s even less fair in the NFL. The one saving grace here is that the Bengals have not been typically quick on the trigger historically. Only Sam Wyche, their first coach, received two seasons or fewer but if the Bengals go 2-14 or 3-13 this season, Taylor is going to be sweating.

 

4-Doug Marrone-Jacksonville Jaguars

The once-promising window for the Jaguars has been slammed shut over the last two seasons and a 11-21 record leading to two last-place division finishes. This offseason, the organization has shaken up its coaching staff, front office, and scouting department. They have also moved on from Nick Foles to Gardner Minshew and parted with Calais Campbell in the offseason after trading Jalen Ramsey during the season. The winds of change are blowing in Jacksonville and Doug Marrone might swept away if the Jags aren’t able to find a rhythm that led to a first place finish in 2017.

5-Anthony Lynn-Los Angeles Chargers

If you have been reading any of my preseason wagers and projections you already know, I am not an Anthony Lynn fan. If you have watched Chargers games in recent seasons you already know, every game is an adventure with at least one “what the?” call coming from the Chargers sideline and Phillip Rivers absolutely losing his mind about something. Well, Rivers and his Hall of Fame career are now gone and it could get ugly in a hurry. My guess is that unless this team signs Cam Newton or Jameis Winston as a stop-gap, they are going to be one of the three worst in the NFL and Lynn will be gone.

 

If you are betting on which NFL Coach loses his job first; head to RealBookies.com; our favorite pay per head bookie site!

 

 

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Football Betting – NFL Week 1 Games to Watch

The time is drawing near for the kickoff of the 2018 National Football League season, and by all accounts, it is wide open with any number of teams from each conference having a chance to play in the Super Bowl. Let’s not jump ahead too far though, and take a look at how the first week is shaping up with a quick NFL Week 1 preview of games to watch.

 

Falcons @ Eagles | Sept. 6th, 2018, 8:20PM ET | Eagles -3.5 | Total 46

 

The 2018 season will start how it ended for the Atlanta Falcons, a road trip to the City of Brotherly Love to face the Philadelphia Eagles. Remember that Eagle 15-10 win on Divisional Weekend Saturday this past January. Jake Elliott kicked two second half field goals, the only scoring of that half, to help the Eagles get one step closer to the Super Bowl.

 

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These two teams come into 2018 with pretty much the same core, with both teams drafting some help and adding in free agency. As of late August, QB Carson Wentz still hasn’t been cleared for contact, and with backup Nick Foles looking less than adequate in preseason, is there cause for concern in this opening game for the Eagles?

 

Looking at these two teams, I expect this to be a defensive battle. The Eagles front 7 really knows how to get after the quarterback, with a great rotation of d-linemen. On the other side of the field, watch for both linebacker Deion Jones and safety Keanu Neal to have an impact in this one. The total has been dropping, so hopefully you got on the UNDER train before the public did.

 

Steelers @ Browns | Sept. 9th, 2018, 1PM ET | Browns +5.5 | Total 46.5

 

Is it the hype from Hard Knocks or have the Cleveland Browns finally turned a corner towards winning football? Sportsbooks currently have the Browns win total at 5.5, after winning a total of one game over the past two seasons.

 

They start the season hosting division top dog and rival Pittsburgh Steelers in Week 1, and despite the fanfare surrounding the team, are a five and a half point home dog. This should come as any surprise though, with the Steelers winning 9 of their last 10 meetings against the Browns. Since December 2012, the Browns gave only managed one win against the Steelers, on October 12th, 2014 at FirstEnergy Stadium.

 

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The good news for the Browns is that in the last three meetings, they are 2-0-1 against the spread, with the UNDER a convincing 7-3 in the last 10. I’m not buying the Browns just yet, so I’ll let the public bet them up and then fade.

 

Jaguars @ Giants | Sept. 9th, 1PM ET | Giants +3 | Total 43.5

 

This is an interesting game to me. On one side you have a team that was up 20-10 on the Patriots in the AFC Championship game with less than 15 minutes to play. We all know how that ended, but this Jags team is clearly a team on the rise. The other side of the spectrum saw the New York Football Giants implode last season, going 3-13, getting the second overall pick in the draft.

 

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That pick, running back Saquon Barkley, might be the fuel to ignite the fire under a team that clearly underachieved last season. The Giants defense is better than the 31st they finished in overall team defense, so look for them to make a quick progression.

 

Both of these teams are quite possibly better than last, and if QB Blake Bortles continues his noticed improvement, this Jaguar squad will be tough to beat. They finished opposite of the Giants in overall team defense at #2, and used their 1st and 3rd round draft picks to improve it even more.

 

These two have only met six times, with the Jaguars 5-1 ATS, with a 3-3 split straight up and the OVER 4-1-1. Another storyline in this one is the fact that the coach that led the Giants and Eli Manning to their last two Super Bowls in 2008 and 2012, is now the Jaguars executive vice president of football operations.

 

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You know Tom Coughlin wants to destroy the Giants in their home, not only for old time sake, but to prove to the football world that the Jaguars are for real. And I think they are. The Giants have made some significant improvements, but they will be a 6 or 7 win team this season, and one of them won’t be against the Jaguars in Week 1.

There’s a quick look at three games that will start the 2018 NFL season. There is a ton of value to be had betting NFL Week 1, so make sure you load your online sportsbook betting account, do some research and find the games that suit you. Don’t forget to make a betting plan and stick to it. Happy betting and check back for more tips and information on the 2018 NFL season.

Sunday Night NFL Patriots at Falcons

It’s a potential Super Bowl preview on Sunday night when New England visits Atlanta in a matchup of teams that both lost in the conference title game a season ago. “Football Night in America” will feature the two active quarterbacks with the best winning percentages as starters when the Patriots’ Tom Brady (139-39, .781) and Atlanta’s Matt Ryan (57-24, .704) meet.

The Pats are 3-0 after a 23-3 win over Tampa Bay in Week 3. Brady, who has now thrown a touchdown pass in 51 consecutive games, connected with rookie wide receiver Kenbrell Thompkins on two TD passes against the Bucs. Pro Bowl tight end Rob Gronkowski has yet to play this season and the Patriots are â??not optimisticâ?쳌 that tight end he will make his season debut against the Falcons. Two weeks ago, according to a report, the Patriots were bullish about his chances of returning for Week 3, and said he would â??definitelyâ?쳌 be playing in Week 4. No. 1 receiver Danny Amendola also will sit another week. The Patriots have managed to overcome a shaky offense by allowing 34 points. The 11.3 points-against average is tied for second with Kansas City and behind only Seattle’s 9.0. They are one of 10 teams to hold their first three opponents under 1,000 yards and have allowed an average of 188.3 yards in the air.

New England is second in the AFC in takeaways while cornerback Aqib Talib leads the NFL with three interceptions. The 1-2 Falcons will be in desperation mode after a last-second defeat in Miami (27-23) in Week 3. At home, Atlanta has won 12 of its past 13 regular-season contests. Ryan had 231 yards and two touchdowns on 23-of-38 passing against the Dolphins for Atlanta, which dominated time of possession in the opening half, holding the ball for nearly 23 minutes. Atlanta’s Julio Jones led all receivers with 115 yards on nine catches for the Falcons, who lost despite a 377-285 edge in total offensive yards. Falcons running back Steven Jackson is expected to miss his second straight game with a thigh injury. Jacquizz Rodgers and Jason Snelling are expected to again carry the load after combining for 139 rushing yards last week. Brady is 3-0 against the Falcons, including a 26-10 home win over Ryan in the last meeting in 2009. http://www.wagerweb.ag